Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000920 0.001046 0.001178 0.001327 0.001490 0.001664 0.001861
2025-03-02 0.000729 0.000905 0.001103 0.001340 0.001616 0.001924 0.002293
2025-03-09 0.000600 0.000793 0.001020 0.001304 0.001646 0.002042 0.002531
2025-03-16 0.000501 0.000702 0.000948 0.001268 0.001666 0.002139 0.002740
2025-03-23 0.000439 0.000647 0.000911 0.001265 0.001718 0.002271 0.002987
2025-03-30 0.000388 0.000600 0.000879 0.001264 0.001768 0.002397 0.003227
2025-04-06 0.000342 0.000554 0.000843 0.001252 0.001800 0.002498 0.003435
2025-04-13 0.000299 0.000508 0.000802 0.001228 0.001815 0.002573 0.003610
2025-04-20 0.000277 0.000491 0.000798 0.001254 0.001893 0.002733 0.003895
2025-04-27 0.000256 0.000470 0.000789 0.001271 0.001958 0.002875 0.004159
2025-05-04 0.000228 0.000439 0.000760 0.001257 0.001980 0.002957 0.004344
2025-05-11 0.000202 0.000406 0.000727 0.001235 0.001987 0.003019 0.004502
2025-05-18 0.000186 0.000390 0.000718 0.001249 0.002046 0.003156 0.004767
2025-05-25 0.000171 0.000373 0.000706 0.001257 0.002098 0.003283 0.005021
2025-06-01 0.000149 0.000341 0.000669 0.001223 0.002085 0.003317 0.005146
2025-06-08 0.000129 0.000312 0.000633 0.001188 0.002068 0.003345 0.005261
2025-06-15 0.000117 0.000295 0.000617 0.001186 0.002100 0.003441 0.005475
2025-06-22 0.000107 0.000281 0.000604 0.001185 0.002133 0.003540 0.005693
2025-06-29 0.000096 0.000263 0.000584 0.001173 0.002149 0.003613 0.005874
2025-07-06 0.000084 0.000244 0.000560 0.001151 0.002146 0.003658 0.006014
2025-07-13 0.000080 0.000240 0.000562 0.001176 0.002219 0.003818 0.006325
2025-07-20 0.000075 0.000233 0.000560 0.001192 0.002278 0.003956 0.006608
2025-07-27 0.000067 0.000219 0.000542 0.001179 0.002289 0.004021 0.006781